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External Research & Programs Overview
Microsoft Conference Center, Redmond, Washington
July 17, 2006
INTRODUCTION
Harold Javid, Faculty Summit Chair, Microsoft Research
Sailesh Chutani, Director
of External Research & Programs, Microsoft Research
MODERATOR
Richard Newton, Dean of the College of Engineering, University of California, Berkeley
PANEL
Dan Mote, President, University of Maryland
Craig Mundie, Chief Research and Strategy Officer, Advanced
Strategies and Policy, Microsoft Corporation
Richard M. Russell, Associate Director, Office of Science and Technology
Policy, Executive Office of the President
Lucy Sanders, CEO, National Center for Women & Information Technology (NCWIT)
ANNOUNCER: Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome Faculty Summit
Chair Microsoft Research Harold Javid.
HAROLD JAVID: Well, we want to welcome all of you to the
Microsoft Research Faculty Summit 2006. This is our seventh annual faculty
summit, and we're so excited to have all of you here. We're also very excited
about the program this year. We've chosen the theme of technology at the
center of transformation, and we've written it in all of the various
collateral, and e-mails, and things you've received in many different ways. But, fundamentally, we wanted to concentrate this year on the topic that many,
many times technology such as the ones we're involved with in the computing
area are key to transformation, whether it's socioeconomic or in the scientific
realm, or many other realms.
As you will see as we go
into this plenary session as well, we'll be talking about the future of that
technology, and a lot about the concerns that people have, and try to look for
what we can take away from that as we go into the future.
So, without any further ado, I would like to get the session underway. Sailesh Chutani is a director of
external research and programs here in Microsoft Research. He would like to
give you a brief update about some of the activities and the plans we have,
things we've done last year, things we'll be doing going forward. He's been
instrumental in helping us modify and come up with new visions. So, I'm sure
he, as well as all of us, are looking for your feedback in this area. So,
without any further ado, Sailesh Chutani.
SAILESH CHUTANI: Good morning. Good morning and welcome. It's a
real honor and privilege to host you today, and I appreciate you taking the
time to be here. What I thought I will do, very quickly, is talk to some of
the high level goals for external research and programs, why do we exist, why
do we do what we do. So, our goals are fairly straightforward. We want to
partner with you, academia, and the governments across the world to foster
innovative research, to invest in education, and promote science and
engineering, because ultimately these are some of the core things that drive
knowledge economies of the 21st Century.
And during the next two
days, we will be talking about the details of how, exactly, we do that. Now, in
these goals, we are driven by sound business considerations. If you think
about what are the foundations of knowledge economies, you need a talented and
educated workforce, you also need significant investment in fundamental
research, and you in academia are at the forefront on both of those issues. Today, at the Summit, we have brought together about, I would say, 350 top
leaders and influentials, not only from the United States, but also from other
countries. We have six continents represented here. And our goal today is to
stimulate a conversation on how we can all partner to shape the future of
computing. As I mentioned, we believe that computing is fundamental to the
knowledge economy, economies of the 21st Century, you are all the key players, so
we want to stimulate the conversation around that. Again, during the next two
days, you'll have a chance to see some of the results of the collaborations we
have put in place in the last few years.
The last year's Academic
Summit for us was a very pivotal year. We sounded the alarm on some of the key
developments, and you're aware of that because you're on the ground. We're
very concerned about the crisis in the pipeline, the drop in enrollment. We're
also very concerned about the situation with the R&D funding, which has
been going down. I'm sure you know the pain that comes from NSF's rejection
rate being almost close to 90 percent, and the difficulty of getting any
cutting edge, high risk research funded. We're very concerned about that. We
think those trends have a long-term implication for the industry, and also for
the competitiveness of the United States.
Bill Wulf, the president of
the National Academies of Engineering, was here at the summit last year as one
of the keynote speakers, and he made a very impassioned plea for reversing
these trends, about investing more in research, and really getting more
talented people attracted to science and technology as a discipline.
So of course since we
sounded the alarm and we put forward our programs quite a few developments have
come about. The National Academy of Engineering came out with the report about
rising above the gathering storm, they talked about the issues of national
competitiveness, and impact of reduced R&D funding, and makes very specific
recommendations both to the government and to academia, how to wise up to those
issues.
President Bush announced the
American Competitiveness Initiative and the computing mobility mobilized, as
well. I was at the CRA meeting a couple of weeks ago and it's very clear that
computing research has mobilized. They see real issues if the trends continue,
and they're beginning to lobby and speak up, and mobilize the community. Clearly, more needs to happen. We need action at the local level, we also need
partnerships, and we need to build momentum. So it's a good thing to ask where
do we go from there.
To that end we have put
together a very distinguished panel. I will introduce the chair of the panel,
Richard Newton, who will in turn introduce the rest of the panel. Professor
Newton is a very distinguished academic and an entrepreneur. He is currently
the Dean of Engineering at the University of California at Berkeley. And the
list of interesting things about his career is very long, so let me try to
state a few of them. He's the recipient of numerous awards for research, and
he was named to the National Academy of Engineering in 2004, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 2006, and won the Phil Kaufman Award which is the
highest recognition of the EDA Consortia.
He is originally from Australia, but he has been in the U.S. fairly long, but you can still tell the accent if you pay
attention. We are really delighted to have him here, and I should also
mention, because he is an entrepreneur and an educator, he has a very
interesting perspective of the whole cycle. So please welcome Dr. Newton.
RICHARD NEWTON: Thank you. Can I invite our panelists to join us
out here, if they would. While they're coming out, I'd just like to say that
I'm absolutely pleased and honored to have the opportunity to chair this very
important panel at the 2006 Microsoft Faculty Summit.
We're certainly living in
very interesting times, and unusual times, and I borrowed a slide from Dan Reed
at a presentation he gave recently at the Snowbird Conference. And he quoted
from Charles Dickens, and I saw this on the Web and I thought, boy, he's
exactly right with this. It was the best of times, it was the worst of times;
it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness; it was the epoch of
belief it was the epoch of incredulity; it was the season of light, the season
of darkness, et cetera, et cetera.
That's the kind of confusion
I feel, how many of you feel that way, about kind of all the dramatic changes
that are going on around us, globally, locally. We hear about a crisis in the
number of students applying to our computer science programs, yet we see tens
of thousands of students going into fields that are using computer science more
extensively than ever before. Is it really a crisis, is it not a crisis, how
can we address it, et cetera.
These are the kinds of
concerns that I think we're all talking about on a regular basis, and very,
very important, not only to us as academics and industry leaders, but also as a
nation, as represented by our federal government. So I would argue that
nevertheless, due to the sustained efforts of many people on this panel, along
with many of you out in this community, we are at a really important moment in
the history of the field here in the United States in particular. It's a
unique opportunity, it's a moment that probably won't last too long, and I
think we have an obligation to think carefully about how we take advantage of
this unique opportunity.
Many, many people have
contributed to the development of a real imperative around technology, science,
education and research in the United States. By the way, I include the press
very definitely in that mix, because that's played a critical role in bringing
these issues to the general public, and moving them all forward, as well.
So with apologies to the
fact that we have many of our international friends here today, and hopefully
they'll enjoy the discussion, as well, we have a very unique audience here
today, as well. That is, we have an audience of academic leadership at all
levels, from computer science across the entire nation. And the organizers of
the summit and I felt that we really owe it to ourselves to take advantage of
this unique moment, this unique gathering to see if we can think through some
of the challenges that we're facing here in the United States, and how we can
best organize ourselves to take advantage of this very important time in our
history.
So one thing that is true is
that we as an academic community have worked very hard, and some of the reports
up there on the screen represent a lot of that work, to sort of make a point
about technology, about education, K-12, higher education, advanced research,
and in particular information and communications technologies. So has
industry, independently, on our behalf, but there has got to be a lot more
value in us coordinating our efforts effectively and coherently, identifying a
small number of really important messages and projecting them onto the players
that matter in the world, the federal government, state governments, and some
of the consortia that we've developed around the nation.
At the same time I would
argue that there's an opportunity for government here. We are looking at some
initiatives that are going to deliver significant increases in funding, one
would argue not enough, I think we may all argue not enough, but certainly
significant increases in funding into science and technology education and
research. How can the government best leverage those investments, working with
us in public-private partnerships and other kinds of matching programs, that
can really leverage and consolidate those kinds of funding activities.
So they're the kind of
questions we'd really like to address on the panel today. What I'm looking
for, though, is not just another discussion. The way we're going to organize
this panel is we've sort of divided it up into roughly three tranches. The
first tranche we're going to have a bit of a conversation about some of these
topics, and give the panelists and opportunity to talk about some of these
important issues, create a little context.
The second tranche is going
to be open to you, the audience, and we're going to have a dialogue with you
about your thoughts, and things that we could do collectively that you think
are going to be important moving forward. Then I want to save a little time at
the end for sort of action plans, specific recommendations of things we could
do together, industry, government, and academia, to actually take advantage of
this important moment in our history. So that's the plan for the panel.
Now, we have a very
distinguished panel, and I'm going to introduce them. On my left, across, Dan
Mote is the President of the University of Maryland College Park, has been in
that position since 1998. I'm not going to go through the bios that are on the
Web, I'm just going to give you some updates that I think are relevant to this
discussion. Dan, of course, is one of our most distinguished Berkeley alums. He started his career at Berkeley in ‑‑ graduated in '63,
joined the faculty in '67, and stayed there all the way through until his
current position. He did lots of important things there. Perhaps one of the
most important was, led the largest fund-raising campaign in the history of any
public university, where the goal of $1.1 billion ended up at $1.44 billion by
the time it finished, the New Century Campaign. I mention that only because he
understands how to get money and what kind of messaging is important in that
role. And I think that's going to be an important element of what we want to
talk about here today, as well.
His research, mechanical
engineering, his research in disk drives, all sorts of things that are related
to our industry, but the most fascinating area was, of course, his work on the
dynamics of ski bindings and improving the quality of ski bindings for all of
us here in this room. So that was really important.
The other thing I should
mention about Dan, though, that he was one of the co-authors of this report,
Rising Above The Gathering Storm, and I'm going to ask him later to talk about
that in the context of the ACI that Richard Russell will be talking with us
about, as well. So that's Dan.
Next to Dan is Craig Mundie. In June 2006, just last month, Craig assumed a new responsibility here at
Microsoft, the position of Chief Research and Strategy Officer. He's working
very closely with Bill Gates as Bill transitions over the next two years, in
terms of his role here at Microsoft. Craig has inherited all research at
Microsoft. He had, historically, responsibility for the TCI initiative, for
some of the incubators, for a lot of work that had to do with sort of
international development, and working with foreign governments, among a number
of other responsibilities, including work with some European research
organizations, as well. Now he also has responsibility for all of Microsoft
Research Labs, and one of the things we're going to ask him to speak to a
little bit later is to give us maybe a quick introduction to how he sees
research going at Microsoft in his new role.
He also partners with
General Counsel Brad Smith to guide Microsoft's intellectual property and
technology policy efforts, that obviously relate very deeply to Washington and the things that go on there. And in his previous position at Microsoft, as
Chief Technical Officer of Advanced Strategies and Policies, he worked with
Bill to develop comprehensive technical business and policy strategies for
Microsoft on a global scope.
The last thing I'd like to
mention is Craig personally I know profoundly believes in the important of a
strong technology workforce here in the United States, but at the same time
understands probably better than any this notion of a flat world that Tom
Friedman has been promoting. If you read Tom's book, I did the count, Craig is
quoted more than any other individual in that book, in terms of his input to
that discussion. So he obviously has that context, as well.
Next to Craig is Richard
Russell. Richard was confirmed by the U.S. Senate in August 2002 as Associate
Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy, or OSTP, in the
Executive Office of the President. He's deputy director of technology, charged
with the technology portfolio of that office, which includes departments in
technology, telecommunications, and information technology. And he also has
the space and aeronautics portfolio, as well.
In addition to his role at
OSTP, Richard serves a senior director for technology and telecommunications
for the National Economic Council, and prior to being chosen for this position,
Richard served as OSTP's chief of staff, and on the presidential transition
teams, perhaps notably for the Department of Commerce and the National Science
Foundation, as well as OSTP.
Doing a little research on
Richard on the Web you find that he was in an Ask the White House conversation
a few years ago, and one of the questions that was asked of him was, "what
three technologies do you believe hold the most promise over the next
decade." Now, I'm going to put you on the spot here, it's three years
old, he can maybe give us an update, but he answered, let me give you four,
nanotechnology, hydrogen technology, biotechnology, and of course, information
technology. So I think Richard is well positioned to respect the importance of
the field we're talking about here today.
OSTP is authorized, "to
lead an interagency effort to develop and implement sound science and
technology policies and budgets, and to work with the private sector, state and
local governments, science and higher-education communities, and other nations
towards this end.
Last, but by no means least,
we have Lucy Sanders. Lucy is CEO and co-founder of the National Center for
Women and Information Technology, an extensive background in information
technology, a software developer herself, worked extensively at places like
AT&T, Bell Labs, Lucent, Avaya, where she specialized in systems-level
software solutions. By the way, she's also the program chair for the 2006
Grace Hopper meeting, coming up in October, October 4th to the 6th in San Diego. It's a real important meeting. I hope to see many of you at that meeting, as
well.
In the context of this
panel, Lucy represents workforce development, so she represents what are we
doing, how are we doing it to prepare the U.S. student body for science and
technology moving forward, and careers in that direction. She will argue that
the kind of work she does with women, and the development of interest in women
are actually just as relevant to men, and other underrepresented groups, et
cetera. So we're looking forward to hearing about that.
Now, so that's kind of our
panel. A couple of quick data points, I'm sure all of you are aware of the
American Competitiveness Initiative, developed by Richard's office, and moving
rapidly through the political process. We were very pleased to hear on Friday
that the Senate approved an appropriation for the NSF portion of this, with a
slightly lower than requested increase, but really in the noise. Things seem
to be going very well with that initiative, and it looks like it's a great
vehicle for us to sort of work with as a community.
The major elements of the
initiative, just to quickly recap, are commitments to double the NSF, DOE, and
NIST budgets over a 10-year period, and to make the R&D tax credit
permanent. On the education side 70,000 new teachers, alternative teacher
certification, foster advanced placement, improve participation in math and
science, and then there are a set of workforce and immigration issues, such as
expanding worker training programs and adding flexible H(1)(b) caps and
reforming some of the visa issues that as academics we run into regularly.
This is sort of a plot of where
the funding will go. And one of the questions I think we have to ask is, sort
of is this the right approach, is kind of doubling the budget of agency X over
Y years the way we should formulate this. And I think there are some
interesting questions that we have to address on that front.
Another really influential
document that came out around the same time, early this year, and it had
substantial impact, is this national academy's publication, Rising Above the
Gathering Storm. Dan, as said, was ‑‑ I'll show you
here, there he is ‑‑ an author of that report. And one
of the things we want to understand is where the ACI stands, relative to some
of the recommendations made in rising above the gathering storm.
Other agencies that work on
our behalf in the federal government are the PTAC and PCAS, many of you are
familiar with those. This is a slide from Dan Reed's presentation, again, that
talks about some of the reports that they've produced ,and they're about to
come out with a very important report on energy, as well, later this year.
As I said, one of the
questions I think we need to think about is, what's the right way for us as a
community to motivate our constituencies, the U.S. public in general, motivate
our legislators to get the kind of long-term commitments we need to the funding
of advanced research and workforce development, K-12 science and technology
development.
Should we sort of look at
this as kind of an input goal, or an output goal, in the sense, as I said,
should we sort of formulate is as a, let's fund nanotechnology, it's important,
which is sort of more of a lifestyle than it is sort of an output, in the sense
of solving a particular problem. Should we formulate these challenges that we
face in ways that people can get behind, like the U.S. needs to develop
technologies to make it independent of foreign oil within the next 20 years,
some kind of grand challenge problem like that. What's a better way of going,
or is it some combination of the two?
One of the vehicles you as a
community have available to you, and it was recommended for funding by the
National Science Foundation last week, is this Computing Community Consortium
proposal led by the CRA. This particular proposal will create the Computing
Community Consortium, a proxy organization, so it doesn't have a research
agenda, it has the role of leading a collection of efforts to develop some
ideas around such grand challenges as the one we talked about in terms of the
use of computing and its integration into a research agenda.
Hopefully that same
integration can be used to sort of motivate and inspire young people and bring
more of them into the field. The organizers of this activity would say, this
is the best place. If we can all get behind this, industry, government, academia,
develop a common message, use this as a vehicle, this would be a real
contribution in terms of our ability to take advantage of this initiative. It's not establishing a research program itself, it's establishing a research
agenda.
And just my last slide to
sort of summarize a picture from the proposal that, as I said, was selected for
funding $6 million as of last week. That doesn't mean the money is in yet, it
means it might be in at some time in the future, as NSF does these things. The
CRA will be leading and coordinating this effort on the community's behalf, and
there are visioning task forces, and planning groups, and organizations that
would develop some of these compelling visions for the research community.
So, that's a quick
introduction to our panel, and where we're headed. And now what I would like
to do is begin actually by asking Richard if he could give us kind of an update
on the ACI and what's happening, and what you think we, as a community should
be doing about it.
RICHARD M. RUSSELL: Thanks, Richard.
As Richard mentioned, we are
having some significant success in the appropriations process. And I'll touch
on, because there are obviously a number of components, it's not just R&D,
but for today's group and for this discussion, obviously, most people are most
interested in the R&D funding. We're having great success in actually
getting the funding into the appropriation bill this year. And one of the
reasons that's really important is that this effort is actually front-loaded. There's always a discussion on how you ensure, once you announce a long-term
vision, in this case, the 10-year goal of doubling three critical agencies,
National Institute of Standards and Technology, NSF, and DOE Office of Science.
Obviously, 10 years is a
long after this administration will have ended, and one of the ways we try to
set that up is, we actually front-loaded some of the funding. The doubling, if
you think about it, occurs at 7 percent a year, if you do the math. This year,
we're looking at a 9.3 percent increase for those three collective agencies,
and it's not evenly distributed. Some of the agencies are going to get a lot
more than a 9 percent increase, some a little less.
But, in the House of
Representatives, which has passed through the entire House both its relevant
appropriation bills, that's the Energy and Water Appropriations bill that funds
the Department of Energy, and the Commerce and Science Appropriations bill that
funds both NSF and the National Institute of Standards and Technology, they
have funded the initiative at about 100 percent, so it's absolutely what we
asked for, and it's fully funded. The Senate, which has acted on the committee
level for both the Energy funding and NSF And NIST funded at virtually 100 percent. I think they're about $30 million short in NSF funding. So, we are very
excited that we're actually really achieving what the president outlined. Obviously, it's very much of a cooperative effort. It's very nice for the
president to announce something and ask for money but unless Congress actually
appropriates it, it's sort of a hollow gesture. And so, we're very excited
about that.
In addition, we're working
very hard to get some of the other critical components through. I think most
of you have been reading about immigration and the battles that are going on,
and most of this discussion has not been about the high-skill side that is part
of ACI, but, that being said, it's all wrapped up together. The Senate
actually has moved a very good, comprehensive immigration bill that includes
most of the high skill provisions that are in ACI, and so we're encouraged by
that and very hopeful that ‑‑ and the president very much
wants a comprehensive immigration bill to go forward.
In addition, on the education
front, the House has acted actually on a number of critical components
associated with ACI, including things like adjunct teacher corps, where we'd
get highly skilled people from both academia and industry into the classroom to
help teach math and science. The House of Representatives passed an
authorization of that program, as well as what's called APIB, a program which
is to train 70,000 additional teachers, so that we can have 700,000 additional
students passing advanced placement or international baccalaureate tests. That
obviously requires some funding, and it requires significant teacher training. One of the goals here is to make sure that don't leave anyone behind, as it
were. That we actually have people trained to be able to teach AP courses, so
that students in poorer neighborhoods aren't deprived of that opportunity. So,
those provisions have passed the House, and actually have gotten funding in the
APIB stuff, they've gotten funding in both the House and Senate, not fully 100
percent, but a good chunk. So, both those things are really helpful.
The next step is to keep the
pressure on. It's really been a joint effort. Richard was mentioning a number
of other reports, in particular the most prominent one, which was Rising Above
the Gathering Storm. But there have been a whole host of reports which have
come out with the same basic message, which is that we really need to work to
stay competitive. We're in a good position today, but there's no guarantee for
tomorrow, and if we want to be the world's leading economy into the future, we
really have to work at it. And because there's been so much interest, and so
many organizations, everything from the Council on Competitiveness, to
companies like Microsoft, Intel, you name it, virtually all the various
business organizations that are associated with what we would consider sort of
high tech businesses have championed this notion, and have been pushing very
hard in Congress to make sure that ACI actually happens.
And that's one of the reasons
why we have actually done so well in the appropriations process. It's actually
very unusual to get full funding in the first year of an announced initiative. When you look at other science initiatives, like the Hydrogen Fuel Initiative,
despite that it's received funding, it has never gotten 100 percent of what
we've asked for. So, we're very encouraged.
RICHARD NEWTON: So, what are your biggest challenges right now? What do you worry about the most?
RICHARD M. RUSSELL: The two things that I think are really key is, one,
staying focused. You know, a lot happens in Washington. And every
second-third day, there's a new crisis, sometimes it's every day it feels
like. And it's very hard to sustain momentum over time. And so, there are two
things that we want to make sure happens. One is that this year we actually
get the funding, and we get that train in motion. The miracle of compounding
interest, the first year really matters. And so, we are really going to make
sure that in the first year we actually enact what the president has called
for, and just staying focused for the remainder of the year to make it happen. The way it works in Washington in an election year, traditionally, the year is
very short in terms of congressional schedules, and usually Congress has to
come back after the election to finish all of the appropriations. So, not only
do we have to make sure that all the money is included now, but we have to make
sure that at the end of the year, when everything actually ends up being signed
into law, there's still the same momentum. And we've got to start again next
year. But, I think the first year, typically, is critical. If you don't
succeed in the first year, your chances of success are very limited.
RICHARD NEWTON: Craig, I know that Microsoft has been a big
supporter of this, and many, many other efforts, and I would love to get your
read on how this is going, and is it enough? Where are we headed there? And,
by the way, I would love, along the way, if you could sort of talk a bit about
your vision for Microsoft in research and so on.
CRAIG MUNDIE: Let me answer those sort of in the reverse order,
because it does expose the way I think about not only where we are and where
we're going, but how it relates to this question. When you talk about
Microsoft and you look at the scale that we operate in, the balance that the
company has between its domestic operation as a historic U.S. headquartered company, and yet the fact that we make well more than half of our business
outside the United States, we're always in these tradeoffs.
When you look at the
questions you've posed, I find Microsoft as a microcosm of all of these
issues. The question of is it a moonshot, or do you fund a lot of these just
in a generic sense. We have the same challenge ourselves. And I guess my
answer to that a little bit is going to be that you have to have a balance
between the two. You can't get all the things you want done if you just do the
moonshot, because you're not really prepared for the unexpected. Similarly,
you're not creating the opportunities to support the prize. And, in fact, many
of the great things that have happened, certainly in terms of business and
things that get funded, they're the things that emerge from nowhere. And I don't
think you get those only by the directed efforts towards engineering solutions
to moon shot.
So, when I look at my new
job, as we looked at how Bill would transition over two years from full time
here to full time at the Foundation, we decided to break the job kind of into
two parts, and gave Ray Ozzie half and me half. And the way that we thought
about that is that, Ray's job is to replace what Bill has always done for the
company in terms of coordinating our strategy across all the business groups in
terms of technical architecture, and more or less the near-term engineering of
our product lines. And so his time horizon you could think of as mostly in the
zero to three to five year time horizon. I was given, in addition to all the
policy and strategy stuff I had historically done, the mandate to manage
research as a component of a much longer cycle of planning and research and
development.
So, Microsoft Research to me
is the way that Microsoft prepares itself for the future. And in doing that,
we have both our moonshot programs, where there are certain things we think
have to ‑‑ they're big problems, and we have to get them
solved, and we attack a lot of that directly. On the other hand, we have a lot
of areas where we think they may be important, and therefore we tend to fund
them in the MSR world. My time horizon tends to be three to 15 years, and I
think this country, and frankly I think all the countries in the world, now, in
their own way, have got to come to grips with both of these problems. They
have a set of near-term, more or less engineering challenges, and they have a
longer-term set of problems.
The thing I think is going
to be important, and the thing I probably worry a bit about when I think of
this challenge we're discussing this morning, and even where the U.S. efforts
are, as it relates to computer science itself is, I think we don't make an
adequate distinction between the application of computing as we know it to this
essentially infinite set of interesting problems to solve, and the challenge of
making sure that computing itself continues to advance. And I would say for
many years now, we've been tilting naturally in a direction of applying a
relatively well-perfected concept of computing, and leaving largely behind the
quest for some transformational model of computing. Even at that, we are now
at a point where we know we're starting to hit some fundamental barriers in
terms of how we manufacturer microprocessors, and they're leading us right down
the path of saying, you know, within five years we'll face the single largest
change in computer architecture and the related methods of writing programs for
these things that we've ever faced, and yet if you look across the entire
computer science community there's not that much being done to address that
problem.
RICHARD NEWTON: Can you just expand on what you mean by that?
CRAIG MUNDIE: Well, if you look at the signals, I'll say, that
come from Intel and AMD and the other microprocessor companies over the last
couple of years, they pretty much have realized that due to heat limitations,
they can no longer continue to increase the clock speed in CMOS circuitry, and
yet that's still, for a lot of reasons, going to be the basis of our technology
for a long time. And the implication of that is, we can't make the clock rate
go up because that increases the heat. But Moore's Law, the real Moore's Law, which had nothing to do with clock speed, it had only to do with transistor
density, it continues to function. So, we're going to get bigger dies with
more transistors, but we can't actually clock them faster.
And so, if you want to solve
bigger problems, you really are led down the path of parallelism. And yet, as
we all know, the challenges of parallel machines have been largely reserved for
the small community we call supercomputing, high performance computing, and, in
fact, it's a hard problem to solve. And yet, everything we want to do in the
future, where we want to get more performance, is going to come through the
requirement of parallelism. And, we don't have great ways to do that. We know
it's a much more error prone environment. We don't have languages that tend to
naturally expose it. In a way, we've been down a path that dramatically favors
serial programming, when the world around us and many of the challenges that
we're funding with these competitive and science initiatives are intrinsically
related to nature, bio, and energy, and other things, you know, in the real
world they're all parallel processes. But we're trying to simulate them with
systems that we don't naturally get to function that way.
And so, for those of us, I
spent my middle career in supercomputing, and we know how hard these problems
are, and yet we don't, as a collective industry, or even academically, have
enough focus on that pending transition, and it's staring us right in the
face. So, are the kind of things where I think we all have to step back and
say, how are we going to not only solve the problems we can see at hand, but
lay the ground work to be able to have either unexpected results, or create
opportunities for people that are not readily anticipated.
RICHARD NEWTON: So, how do you see interacting with the
government? Looking at this initiative, funding level increases, and so on and
so forth, one of the challenges we have is that a significant amount of this
funding is going to go into agencies like the National Science Foundation, and
they do a fantastic job, but they're under incredible pressure in terms of the
number of proposals they're receiving, the grants that they're giving, and the
community in general is concerned about the size of those grants, and even if
you double their budget it's not clear that that's a substantial increase
enough. And then there's this other factor, right, which maybe will come to
you later when Dan talks about Rising Above the Gathering Storm in terms of
peer review and the tendency of a peer review process to lowest common multiple
the opportunity. How do we get an investment vehicle, in your view, that is
going to allow us to really address the risks associated with some of the
challenges we face?
CRAIG MUNDIE: I think, in a way, we have to create a model that's
a bit more like venture capital, at least for a component. The country has
performed extremely well because it has this serendipitous formation of a cap
allocation system that every country in the world is now seeking to replicate. It's actually hard to do. When people think that there's excitement, whether
it's the kids going into fields of study, or people in business thinking they
have a great opportunity, get venture capital. That's one way of funding a lot
of this.
I do happen to believe that
the entire process of funding some of this basic science and engineering has
devolved into a risk averse environment. In fact, I put my money where my
mouth is. A couple of years ago, one of my good friends is Lee Hartwell, he
got the Nobel Prize in Physiology in Medicine, and runs the Hutch. My wife and
I actually put up a prize for a fund-raising for the Hutch, which was called
the Hartwell Innovation Fund. And it was matched. And it was several million
dollars. What was interesting about that, and I didn't realize its importance
when I did it until after it happened is, we gave this fund because, being an
entrepreneur myself, I said, I believe in Hartwell, and I believe this guy can
pick interesting things to do. And his frustration, as he often expressed to
me privately was, because the really breakthrough ideas I can't get through the
peer review process, and so they never get funded. And, therefore, we're
always just sort of incrementing things along.
So, we put this thing
together, and we gave him a fund that he has sole signature authority on. He
can fund anything he wants. And it's remarkable, even with a modest sum of
money, how many transformational things are now getting started just within the
hutch and its related activities, because he has the ability to be a personal
venture capitalist in biology. So I do think that if we could create an
environment in the government where some part of this money was reserved, or
where you were really picking the way business does ‑‑ business
and venture capital people, they back people, they don't back ideas.
I remember when I was
starting my company in 1982, when it was all done the venture capital people
said to us, there are two things you have to remember, that first is, the
business plan is only ‑‑ it doesn't matter really what it
says, all that was important was having you guys go through the process of
trying to write one, because you won't really operate according to that plan
when it's done, the reason is things will change. And so he said, as a venture
capitalist, you can think of this system as a binary system. It's two binary digits,
people and ideas. There's only four cases, you've got good people and great
people, and good ideas and great ideas.
If you look at as a venture
capitalist, all the leverage is on the side where you have great people,
because if you have great people and a good idea, they'll keep the thing alive,
you'll get sustained businesses. If you have great people and a great idea,
you get the Apples, the Microsofts, the Intels, whatever. The losing ones from
a venture point of view are if you have okay people, it doesn't matter whether
they had a great idea or a good idea, they won't make the adjustments to really
get what you need. And I think to some extent, unfortunately, the peer review
process and other things, tends to get you down more in the case of, you've got
good people, but you don't have the brilliance the comes from a Bill Gates, or
an Andy Grove, or the other well-known people who make these choices, they make
them for themselves, they make them for their business, and they make them over
a long period of time.
Somewhere we have to get a
lot of the funding that's going into academia, in my mind, to at least have a
shot at getting some of those decisions made, and I think the leverage that
comes from that can be quite incredible. Right now business and venture
capital tend to operate that way, but government and academia does not. I
think if we're going to get above this rising storm, somewhere there's got to
be more of a marriage there.
RICHARD NEWTON: That kind of leads to the point of the kinds of
things that ultimately are going to inspire the next generation, and Lucy,
you're working very actively and aggressively in this whole workforce
development area, and how do we inspire young people, how do we get more people
interested here in the field here in the United States. Tell us a little bit
about what you've been up to, and what you think is going to be important in
that regard?
LUCY SANDERS: Well, one of the things in thinking about rising
above the gathering storm, and our own innovation and competitiveness certainly
rests, to your point, in the people. And one of the things is, I don't know
how many of you are aware of all of the statistics here, we don't have enough
people. So the enrollments in computer science nationally are down 60 percent
over the last four years. And that's alarming, and we think that's just a
numbers issue, but think about there's also a related quality issue here.
So we just got some new data
around the mean SAT math score for incoming computer science students, it's
lower than English. So it's one of the lowest, only next to business, incoming
business majors. I'm not disparaging business majors. I love business majors.
PARTICIPANT: The lawyers beat us?
LUCY SANDERS: I don't know about lawyers. It's about 535, and
English is about 550 mean SAT. And this should cause us all alarm. So not
only are we not seeing the numbers we need to do all this brilliant research
and to keep our country competitive, we're not seeing the best and the
brightest, and I will tell you from my work with women and underrepresented
groups, we're certainly not seeing women and minorities. And that should cause
us concern, again, not just for numbers, but for diversity of thought.
I think that everybody in
this auditorium could agree that innovation is informed by diversity of
thought, and any time you have like-thinkers in a room they're not going to
come up with necessarily the best technology and the best solutions. So we see
plenty of indicators. I could go on for hours on these indicators, but they
cause us a great deal of concern, and I hope that they cause all of you
concern, as well.
Now, after digging around in
this area for the last couple of years, I was surprised to find, maybe I'm just
arrogant, but that actually our profession, computer science, is a stealth
profession. Nobody really knows what we do, and I'll start with Washington, just because he's sitting here next to me. You can go around Washington, D.C., and you cannot get agreement that computer science is a science. When Washington talks about science, technology, engineering and math they may or may not mean
computer science. And I think we have to get the point across about what our
profession is, what we do.
Yes, we're about
applications. Yes, we're about core computing. Yes, we're about all of these
things. It's a romantic, fun, energetic, very important discipline to the
future of our nation and to the world. And we're not, we're very stealth,
nobody knows what we do. I used to think it was just my mother who didn't know
what we did. But, now I'm pretty convinced that the rest of the world is
making important decisions about funding, and competitiveness, they don't know
what we do, and that's a problem.
So one last thing to say
here is, I think it's a problem, not because somebody did it to us, but because
we're not taking good care of our discipline, and I mean myself in that, as
well. I labored 25 years in Bell Labs, I had no idea what was going on with my
discipline at all. And so we don't tend to be activist, and I think we should
be. And that's not being activist about fixing somebody else, that's being
activist about fixing ourselves.
There are plenty of things
we can do. I think the bulk of the people in this room are from higher ed. We
can start to look at intro computer science classes. We need to get away from
equating computer science to just programming, and by there the logic chain
moves to, if computer science is programming, and programming is moving off
shore, what does that mean to my potential career in this space.
We can start looking at the
image we convey, we can start to get more romance in this. I know, I think
computer science is kind of romantic, at the least a lot of fun, and it's a
great career. We're not getting out there, we're not talking to our K-12
kids. We're not putting it out there for people. So there's a lot we can do.
RICHARD NEWTON: Give me some examples, if you walked into a K-12
class, and you wanted to get across the notion of computer science as romantic,
what kind of examples would you use, what kind of message would you deliver? How would you inspire the kids to say, wow, I want to be one of those people.
LUCY SANDERS: Well, the first thing I'll tell you about K-12
computer science education is there's very little of it, and half of the
computer science classes in K-12 in this country are taught in vo-tech, and
they are really about turning on computers and using computers, they're about
computer literacy and they're not about computer fluency. And again I think
vo-tech is terrific, but it's not computer science.
And I think the way you
start to get into the romanticism of it is talk about what you do. It's a top
down discussion, it's about solving problems, it's about critical thinking,
it's about using computing to emulate what people need and what they want to
solve business problems or medical problems or anything else. And so it's
really appealing to that broader sense of what we use computing for. And I'd
say instead what we opt out to is this is Java or C or something else, and I
think that's just the wrong way to approach it.
RICHARD NEWTON: Yeah, there's a lot of evidence to suggest that
that kind of motivation is particularly important for woman and
underrepresented groups, that this kind of goal-oriented approach is important
and relates back to our kind of moon shot versus discipline oriented discussion
earlier. I mean, shouldn't we thinking as a community about creating some
prizes perhaps or some grand challenge opportunities or a special science fair
or something that kind of engages students with computing in the context of
problems?
LUCY SANDERS: I think that would be an interesting thing to think
about. One of the things that I believe is true is that when we start looking
at it that way we're going to get our best and brightest men and women, and we
will definitely attract more women I think and underrepresented groups, but
we'll also start to see our brightest students, period, because that's what
they care about. They need to understand the top down nature of it and also
how foundational of a science it really is and how interesting.
CRAIG MUNDIE: Your point here that many people here probably have
it, a few years ago, Microsoft Research in Beijing started this thing first in
China and then Asia and now it's worldwide we called the Imagine Cup, which has
been an unbelievable success in terms of getting kids to be excited about the
use of computing to solve problems. You know, it's just been remarkable to see
the energy that that process creates. And that's all just done by Microsoft
and the various universities. But if that's an indication of if it was scaled
up to a set of interesting problems and got kids involved, I think that there's
just huge promise in that.
LUCY SANDERS: Well, and getting away from the notion again that
computing equals programming, okay, because I think that that has been where
the discipline has headed over the last couple of years, and I don't think it's
done us good service.
RICHARD RUSSELL: Yeah, I mean, I remember Ed Penhoet, who was
founder of a company called Chiron, founding CEO of that company, one of the
most successful biotechnology companies to date, now running the Moore
Foundation and very active in the stem cell initiative in California, at a
meeting in 2002 he stood up and said very profoundly that the biotechnology
revolution is not as much about biology as it is about information technology. And when I think those kinds of leaders stand up and make those kind of
profound pronouncements, it really does affect people's thinking, and that's
really important.
LUCY SANDERS: Well, and to your point, I mean, and everybody in
this room, I'm sort of calling everybody to action here, and intend to continue
doing that. When we were in DC a couple months ago, a very high up Department
of Ed person said directly to a group of us, about 350 of us, that -- and this
is a direct quote -- "You IT folks need to sharpen your elbows. We hear
from all kinds of other disciplines; we don't hear from you."
RICHARD NEWTON: Well, if they do hear from us, they hear from kind
of a random noise of different requests and --
LUCY SANDERS: Exactly.
RICHARD NEWTON: -- it's not coordinated, it's not coherent.
LUCY SANDERS: So I started working on sharpening my elbows, and
I'd be happy to help anybody else sharpen theirs.
RICHARD NEWTON: So, Dan, you know, you get to kind of be the
rounder of all of this conversation. As a university president, clearly you're
interested in pipeline issues, you're interested in computer science issues,
science issues broadly, you're involved in the report. You know, in terms of
what you hear and where we're headed, what do you think we should be doing as a
community?
DAN MOTE: Well, just speaking for a moment from this
"Rising Above the Gathering Storm" report, it basically had two
purposes, if you read it carefully. There are two things it was looking to
do. One was provide high quality, high paying jobs for Americans. And the
second was solve the energy problem, as it were, long term, renewable,
available, environmentally safe energy source.
The quality job problem for
Americans is really a serious problem. Lucy alluded to it very strongly. Most
people don't see how the middle class in America is disappearing. The average
wage in the last three years for Americans has dropped 3.6 percent. This is in
a time of great economy, of low unemployment, circumstances that should be
very, very good.
This report essentially
identified that as the key problem going forward, especially in this globalized
environment. In fact, it's pretty hard to see that, in fact, this won't
continue, unless we take some pretty drastic steps.
The issue about of where we
can be going, I would say with regard to the "Rising Above the Gathering
Storm" report, there was one piece of it that didn't make itself to the
ACI. By the way, I support the ACI very enthusiastically, as do all the other
19 members of the Rising Above panel.
In fact, just let me -- a
little non sequitur on this. In July of last year, Senator Lamar Alexander
came to the National Academies and said, "I would like to have a short
list of actual items that we can enact now to make the United States more prosperous and safe in the 21st century, and I want it now, in ten weeks
from now we want this report." This panel of 20 people was put together
and worked on this problem essentially over the summer -- this was your summer
vacation job -- and in the middle of October that report was presented, and now
there's been hundreds of op-ed pieces and so forth went out on that.
Senator Alexander had in
mind when he started that he would do his best to get the president to mention
this in the state of the union address, so that was a strategy right from the
front-end of that whole process.
So the report in that time
scale is not tricky at all. It's just, as one person described it, basic
blocking and tackling: K-12 education, basic research, higher education, incentives
for industry, four pieces that came forward.
And not only did it get to
the president's state of the union address, it became a feature, a theme of the
state of the union address in the ACI. This is an unheard of trajectory to go
from an idea in July to a theme of the state of the union. And even more so
it's now maintained its momentum, as Richard so carefully described, so it's
actually going through Congress, which is even more remarkable.
So this is not a normal
circumstance, this is, in fact, in your lifetime you may never see this again,
I've certainly never seen this before, and it shows the concern people have
about the seriousness of this problem.
However, there were a couple
of features naturally that don't quite get carried along, and one feature was a
feature that Craig described basically was that 8 percent of all basic research
money from the federal government should be delivered by program managers,
professional program managers who can use their own judgment in terms of how to
allocate 8 percent of the entire federal research budget is going to
universities. So this would be in DOD, this would also be in NSF, and even in
NASA and so forth, so areas that are outside of the current ACI.
That was a reflection of the
Rising Above committee's agreement I would say that you did not get whiz bang,
big high risk initiatives out of normal peer review. Peer review tends to give
you good stuff, very valuable, from people who are well-known and so forth, but
very incremental in general, not really risky and unproven ideas.
Well, that unfortunately,
that 8 percent number or any number didn't make it to the ACI, so that's really
I think a work in progress. It's something we need to do going forward.
With regard to decreasing
enrollment in computer science but also in other parts of science and
technology, by the way, this is a really serious problem, and we have to
realize that people don't find value in our field. It's a value judgment
people are making. And it's not just students from poorly educated inner city
high schools; you go to any spiffy high school and you survey the 14-year olds
in that high school, and you'll not find them selecting science and technology
and computer science as their subjects, because they do not see opportunity. The biggest problem we have as a nation is the students do not see opportunity
in our field. And we can complain about science and technology and math
education in high school and all those sorts of things, but actually that's not
the most important problem -- that is a problem, of course, we all agree -- but
it's lack of perceived opportunity is the problem.
So if we want to take on a
big challenge, we ought to take on the challenge of helping them see
opportunity, working with industry, working with government, foreign
government, foreign industry. We don't have a national industry anyway, we
have a global industry.
And so I think we need to
see this global picture, and see the need to create opportunity. I think
Craig's discussion about the Microsoft initiative in Japan is just great, it's
basically a challenge, it's interesting, it's exciting; we should do more of
those kinds of those kinds of things in this country as well.
RICHARD NEWTON: Any other ideas along those lines in terms of
creating that sense of opportunity? I mean, one of the things I've been
absolutely blown away by at Berkeley is the fact that we started an initiative
seven years ago called CITRIS, Center for Information Technology Research in
the Interest of Society, and we said let's pick some grand challenge societal
problems and see if they're good at motivating students and integrating the
research.
DAN MOTE: And it completely blew me away, guaranteed, no
problem, you'll get great results, very exciting stuff. It's just like Craig
described, you won't be able to tell where it's going to go, but it will be
interesting.
I think in terms of your own
departments, I'd speak to my own guys, as a matter of fact, you might just talk
to your students and you'll find they're not excited about it, and they see
programming, as Lucy suggested, as what they do. We might start at home a
little bit and talk about what kind of environment are we creating for our own
students inside our own departments, how excited about -- you know, call
together 15 of them some time and just have lunch with them and ask them, you
know, you may get stunned about what you hear. They should see opportunity,
they should see interconnections to other departments, they should see
connections, of course, in Maryland's case, we have all kinds of labs and stuff
around us, all kinds of opportunity.
So I think it's not just so
much what do you tell the kids in some high school when you go about why they
should be computer scientists or something or mechanical engineers for that
matter or whatever, it really is how you create a culture that has a lot more
excitement in it, and I think this is a national problem that we need faculty
members and we need the leadership and political leadership and university
leadership and everybody to work on.
RICHARD NEWTON: Craig?
CRAIG MUNDIE: I'd add something about this question of
excitement. You know, when you talk about excitement, I think there's two
kinds. There's one kind that I'll call a celebrity and the other I'll call
economic. And historically we've had people chase a particular dream for one
or the other reason. You have a lot of people who devote themselves to things
where they know they're not going to get rich, but they believe that what
they're doing is important or it's high visibility, high profile. And then, of
course, I mentioned earlier the venture capital thing.
To me, spending so much time
outside the United States, and then actually looking at this precipitous
decline in enrollment, I think there's an interesting nexus of some of these
questions. I contend, and you get guys like Dean Kamen, you know, who's a
preeminent entrepreneur, engineer kind of guy, who's running the robotics for
kids, you know, he points out that in the United States we don't just celebrate
engineers, that there's very little notoriety, the National Medal of Honor gets
handed out by the Secretary of Commerce I think it is or something or an
undersecretary, but ask how many kids have ever seen it as something like
really, really important. It doesn't have much notoriety.
I contend the United States, and to some extent Europe and other places, are increasingly a culture that is
derived from media, mass media, and the mass media doesn't actually celebrate
this. If you ask most kids when they're really young when they grow up what do
you want to be, they're more likely to tell you they want to be Tiger Woods or
Brittney Spears or some either athletic or entertainment celebrity than a
science --
RICHARD NEWTON: Bill Gates.
CRAIG MUNDIE: -- teacher or an engineer, or Bill Gates. Well, it
was interesting, as Tom Freedman put in his book, when you go to China and ask that question, the kids, they actually answer Bill Gates.
And it is interesting in that the media that we have here, and have had for a
long time, does not exist in those countries, and they don't have a shortage of
people going into math and science. In fact, but more than 50 percent of kids
in India and in China, given a choice, the most prestigious thing to study is
math, science and engineering. And so that's creating this disparity.
Now, one of the reasons I
think, and maybe Lucy should comment, that we've seen such a big decline in the
last few years in enrollment and average SATs, is we've also seen a precipitous
decline in the number of foreign students that are getting into the country. And partly that's the practical screw-up of the visa problem, but when you go
into those countries, even the kids who can get the visas don't feel welcome
anymore. And so we've seen a side effect that I think will be more persistent
than even just fixing the visa problem in that people are saying, hey, they
don't want us there anymore.
And that is the really,
really big crisis, in my view, because given that we don't have in absolute
terms the number of people, and given that IQ is nominally uniformly
distributed in the global gene pool, if we can't figure out how we're going to
get those people to want to come to the United States and think that there is
something here that's not only welcoming, but an opportunity that is more
available to them or has a higher probability outcome than it would be if they
want back home or stayed home or went to another country, if we don't fix that
problem, all this stuff is going to be for naught.
And I think that that is a
huge challenge. And if we can't create excitement around what these things do,
if people don't understand that there's nothing anymore that's cool, that
doesn't come from computing as an integral part of it, if you want to make
something cool, I don't care if you want to make a new energy or bio or nano or
whatever it is, if you can't compute it, you aren't going to do it. And yet
that message is not out there.
RICHARD NEWTON: Well, just quickly on the graduate students, the
foreign students, too, I mean, not only do we do that, the ones that do get in,
as soon as they finish their degree and we've invested all this money in them,
we tell them to go home. But, I mean, I don't understand why we don't just
staple a green card to every graduation certificate. It makes a hell of a lot
of sense to me.
DAN MOTE: I've made that point; it's basically the argument
I've made is that very argument, staple a green card to every advanced degree.
CRAIG MUNDIE: It hasn't happened.
DAN MOTE: No, it hasn't. I'm still working on it.
CRAIG MUNDIE: Well, Richard is going to make it happen.
RICHARD RUSSELL: Yeah.
LUCY SANDERS: I want to make a comment about the image issue,
because I think there's something that we may be asking all of you to tap into
here. A group of people in February from CRA and ACM and also Microsoft, HP,
Intel and others met in Washington and talked about this issue of image. Rick
Rashid has been involved with that.
And we've decided to fund a
full time person to really start to look at this. We've all talked about it
long enough. And I don't think it has to be a big Madison Avenue PR campaign
or something, I think we can start to do some really interesting things around
just going to talk to screenwriters in Hollywood. I had a meeting with the
president of Industrial Light and Magic, who they do all the special effects
for lots and lots of movies, and I mentioned to her the only thing I've ever
seen in a movie of a little girl actually programming something, that there was
a normal little girl was in Jurassic Park probably about 20 years ago at the
Sun workstation -- remember this, where the tyrannosaurs were coming in. And
she was all excited about what she could do to help to fix this problem.
So we need a person, it
sounds like not very much, one person, but I think we can start to take this on
as a group, and I just want to put a plug in for that activity.
RICHARD NEWTON: So on that vein, what I'd like to do now is open it
up. We could go on forever as a panel, but I'd love to get some input from the
floor. So we have three microphones that are wondering around here in the
audience I believe, I don't see there but there's one in the back. And so if
you raise your hand, the microphone will come to you.
And what I'd like to do is first
obviously introduce yourself and your affiliation, but then sort of let's try
to finish off this session with some calls to action, some specific things we
can do as a community to really affect change. Here's one down here. Why
don't you come around and grab this one here in the front? Go ahead, Dan.
QUESTION: The latest count I think is that of 635 or whatever
congress people, there are three with engineering degrees. If you look at
every other country, it's sort of the opposite kind of statistic. I don't know
how far we're going to get if our national leaders don't come from this
background. So what steps can we take to make that happen?
RICHARD RUSSELL: You want me to take that? A couple things.
LUCY SANDERS: Run for Congress. (Laughter.)
RICHARD RUSSELL: You know, this sounds obvious but we live in a
democracy, so actually you the people choose who represents you. And so to the
extent that that's important to the people of the individual district, it will
be reflected in Congress.
That being said, it doesn't
take -- I mean, if you look at the champions of R&D funding or trying to
get the elements of Gathering Storm enacted into law, you will notice that they
aren't necessarily engineers. And so I don't think understanding the issues
that we face in terms of long term international competitiveness and having an
engineering degree are sort of synonymous.
And, I mean, there are a
couple things; I don't know how many engineers run for Congress. I mean, you
have to sort of break that apart. I mean, how exciting is being a congressman
to an engineer.
CRAIG MUNDIE: They're too logical. (Laughter.)
LUCY SANDERS: No, I think they should all run for office.
RICHARD RUSSELL: So anyway, but obviously the first thing you need
is you need to have actually engineers running for office in the first place.
CRAIG MUNDIE: But I would say one thing, that whether you ignore
the Congress or not, the people who are I'll say the permanent staff that make
the government run, they have engineers, arguably they aren't the best
engineers. And I think one thing you could ask the Congress, and to me a stark
contrast is like Singapore, you know, Lee-Kuan Yew basically had made a
decision, he said, look, if I'm going to have a government in this tiny place
and we're going to stay ahead of the power curve, we need the best people in
the country to be in the government. And so they made a policy choice that
says they're going to pay salaries for government jobs in these areas for
minister level positions in the permanent staff that are absolutely 100 percent
competitive with the best you can do in industry, and they do that. And they
get some of the elite people in the country into all these jobs on a long term
basis and they rotate them around. The United States has not done that. And
one thing you could ask is how do we solve the salary disparity problem. We
were talking before the meeting that it's just a crisis.
So if you think that you
want government or you want program managers in government to be able to make
decisions, you know, we're not providing a compensation opportunity that even
for people who want public service roles are going to be able to elect that if
they have any sense of responsibility to their families, for example.
RICHARD RUSSELL: I mean, that's a real issue. There are special
rules that you're allowed to apply to have salary bump-ups in the federal
government, but it's still not competitive. We at OSTP like bringing in people
from the outside. About half our staff is on loan in one way or another. A
lot more of them used to come from private sector and quite frankly academia,
and we would have a reimbursable type of arrangement. Quite frankly we can't
afford them. Even academics get paid a heck of a lot more than we can afford. So it is a real issue, a long term issue.
RICHARD NEWTON: Okay, a question here.
QUESTION: I was wondering if you could comment on the
feasibility of targeting applications, and like 6-12 education or higher ed, so
a couple examples would be gaming or data mining in something like CS1, and
then if Lucy could comment on gender issues relative to that.
LUCY SANDERS: So the question is around can we take specific
applications and then do we understand if they appeal to women more than men,
do I have it right? She's nodding, so okay.
I have seen some classes --
I'm not an expert on this, we're just starting to understand some of the novel
introductory classes that are out there. Mark Guzdial teaches a really good
one at Georgia Tech around computational media, and using the manipulation of
media, video, sound, and other things, to teach the basic computing concept. And that seems to be working very well with both men and women, and it's a very
popular class. It's been used in about 12 other institutions now, and we're
starting to try to roll that kind of a concept out with computational media.
I have certainly read some
things around gaming. I'm not as familiar with that. But I do think that
taking an approach that kids already know like this is my life, I understand
games, or I understand media, and then working the concepts of computing into
it has a lot of merit.
QUESTION: I was more interested in your assessment of the
sustainability of that, given the fact that the target applications do change
over time.
LUCY SANDERS: That they keep changing. Yeah, I think that, well,
it's probably something we have to keep up to date, you know what I mean? I
mean, it's one of these things we can't just say this is the introductory class
and then that's it, because we're in a fast moving field. I also think there's
some complication around like the computer science AP test and what's that
going to end up looking like. And they're due to redesign that test in the
next year or so, and it mirrors what the introductory courses in computing are
sort of nationally. And so taking an application specific area and trying to
make that into something is going to be hard I think for the computer science
test as well.
I realize I'm not answering
your question exactly, because I don't think I know the answer, but I think
it's worth exploring those application areas as a way to introduce kids.
RICHARD NEWTON: Is there a way of coupling more closely with
industry and using industry as kind of an educational vehicle for injecting
that state of the artness into the curriculum?
LUCY SANDERS: Possibly, yeah, possibly.
RICHARD NEWTON: Okay, we have another. Let's see, where are the
mikes? I can't see the paddles. Does someone have a mike? There's one over
there. And then could you give her the mike next up here? So you have the
floor, sir.
QUESTION: Okay. I'm Todd Shum from Howard University and the University of Southern California.
And I want to make you aware
of a project and program that Microsoft is sponsoring that has been very
successful called the Windows Marketplace Skin Player Challenge. I don't know
if you're familiar with it, but for the last five years Microsoft has sponsored
it in conjunction with Howard University and University of Southern California. And what it does is it brings people into the space by having them create
Windows Media Player skins. You can actually go and visit the site, it's
Howard.edu/skinschallenge. And what you'll see there are examples of students
being innovative.
But the real grind to the
competition is that it brings in students in graphic arts, in communications. And one of the plus sides has been that we've gotten students from non or
traditional non-CS departments to come into computer science from that program.
The other thing that we're
looking to do going into the fall is we want to expand the program, but also
align it so that it provides students with confidence to participate in the
Imagine Cup.
The last thing that I want
to say is I take a little different perspective on this image problem that
engineers have, and it's because one of the things that we find is that
students elect other disciplines because engineering is considered hard, you
have to take the prerequisites, math, calculus, physics and chemistry, and also
they have this perception that it's not important to get paid. So if you have
to take chemistry, physics and calculus versus creating a hip-hop record, and
you make the same money either way, then what are you going to do?
So when we look at the
enrollment, when we look at the enrollment we find that there is a
disproportional number of students that are enrolling in radio, TV, and film,
because they think that it's easier and the compensation will be the same.
Thank you.
RICHARD NEWTON: So to that point, maybe what we need to do is talk
about all the failures in those disciplines.
QUESTION: They don't see the failures, they don't see the
failures.
RICHARD NEWTON: No, I know. Maybe that's our challenge.
CRAIG MUNDIE: Maybe we should publish the statistics.
You know, it is interesting,
kids have genetically a better chance of growing up and being Bill Gates than
growing up and being Tiger Woods, I mean, just in terms of the genetics of
abilities. It's quite amazing, we should probably publish these statistics.
RICHARD NEWTON: Okay, number one.
Question: Thank you very much. I'm Jeanette Wing from Carnegie Mellon University.
I have three comments to
make, and I wanted to focus these comments around action items. So the first
is a bit of an immodest plug of mine. I wrote an article that appeared in CACM
March 2006 called "Computational Thinking". And I tried to inspire
not just the young but the field into rallying behind my vision for the 21st
Century, which is that computational thinking will be a skill that everyone in
the world will need to use and be using in their life, in their daily life.
But the end of the article
is the action item for all of us who are in academia, and that is speaking
directly to what Lucy was suggesting. We need to change or at least amend what
we offer in our introduction to computer science courses. And right now most
of us offer courses like introduction to Java programming, right? Well, that's
fine because there's a group of students who will need that, but I think we
should also be offering courses like ways to think like a computer scientist or
fundamentals of computing or something like that, because when we change what
we offer our freshmen, then the K-12, the AP, I think everything else will, if
you will, with great optimism, fall into place.
But it is partly our
responsibility and perhaps partly our fault that we are in this position. But
we can do something now, we have this opportunity, if the AP people are really
going to be changing, or the ACM, then we have an opportunity now. So that's
action item number one for us to go home and think about.
RICHARD NEWTON: Could you be a little bit --
QUESTION: Okay, okay, okay.
RICHARD NEWTON: Because we have other people who'd like to speak.
QUESTION: Yeah, yeah, yeah, okay.
The second one -- okay, I'll
skip the second one.
RICHARD NEWTON: Great.
QUESTION: The third one has more to do a question to Richard
Russell perhaps, but that is what can we who are in positions of administration
and management at our universities, what can we be doing with respect to having
our congressmen and VC people support the ACI? I mean, we can write to our --
what would you suggest that we actually do, or our presidents of our universities
and provosts, what do you suggest we do?
RICHARD NEWTON: And how important is that?
RICHARD RUSSELL: It's extremely important, and I would say on a sort
of continuum of level of importance, congressman and senators respond most
quickly and most significantly to their actual constituents. There's a popular
misnomer that what matters in Washington is just people who run around and
hammer them while they're there; what really matters is what they hear when
they go home, because it validates whatever they've heard in Washington, and
they believe it's true, because in Washington people are constantly selling
themselves. When they're home and they're meeting with a group and someone
stands up and says, "Why aren't you supporting ACI, or what are we doing about
competitiveness, or how are we supporting basic research," that really hits
home. And every time I meet with a senator or congressman, the first thing
they tell me is, "Gee, when I was on congressional recess last month, and
I was home, four people approached me about this. Those four people are more
important than the 15,000 lobbyists that were knocking on their door.
QUESTION: (Off mike).
RICHARD RUSSELL: No, letters are important as well, but --
QUESTION: Letters from the presidents of our universities?
RICHARD RUSSELL: Letters from the presidents of your universities,
but I would say go ahead and target them to the congressman and senators that
represent them, and go to those town hall meetings. If you can actually spend
your own time, and it doesn't have to be the department, it can be students, it
can be professors, actually engage in a dialogue, that leaves a real lasting
impression.
And let me say one quick
thing in addition. I think the other thing you might want to think about arguing
very strenuously for is the Adjunct Teacher Corps. I mean, what I'm hearing
here is that we need to inspire our students, and I absolutely agree with
that. One of the ways they're doing that is actually getting real live people
who work, who get paid and do interesting things into the classroom. That's
what the Adjunct Teacher Corps is all about. And we haven't been able to get
that through Congress. We've gotten it through the House, but they had to vote
on it, on the House floor, it was a big contentious battle. We can't get it
through the Senate.
So call that out, say,
listen, we want people with experience in the classroom, not replacing the
teachers but helping them convey to the students that this is a good career,
this is an interesting area to be working in, you actually have a future if you
go this direction.
RICHARD NEWTON: By the way, you know, a resource we see that is
entirely underutilized is our retiring workforce, and so this Adjunct Teacher
idea, obviously they need to be credentialed and brought up to speed in terms
of teaching, but there's a real opportunity there for people who want to do
that.
You know, just really to
this point though in terms of academia and what we can do and industry, we talk
to, there are a lot of lobbying groups that work for industry, and when we talk
to them as academics we sort of say, you know, boy, don't you think science and
technology education is critically important, they say, absolutely it is, and
it's up there with the treatment of stock options. But unfortunately the
treatment, with the exception of Microsoft, of course, but the treatment of
stock options kind of comes first, and you only get sort of one short when you
lobby.
Now, I would argue that
there's a real advantage if we could sort of get more academics, both from the
legitimacy of the lobbying that industrialists do. If they come along with a
university president, I think that does add credibility to a case. And then
vice versa, I would say that if we can get more university presidents bringing
in, as we've seen in the successes here, industry, so is kind of the
combination a really valuable tool?
RICHARD RUSSELL: Absolutely. But it is happening in this instance. I mean, that's one of the reasons why we've seen the success that we've seen to
date is that you are getting a real marriage between academia and industry.
There also are a number of
venues where that happens. We have our own for the president and for the
advisory body called PCAST, the President's Council on Science and Technology,
which is industry leaders, largely CEOs or chief technology officers and
university presidents, but there's also the Council on Competitiveness, there's
obviously the group that was assembled for the Gathering Storm, which actually
there's a lot of -- interestingly enough, there's a lot of crossover between
these people, there are a lot of the same people.
But I wouldn't discount what
you can do locally with your Washington representatives. That's very
important. I think nationally there's a very good effort on. I think locally
that's the next step.
CRAIG MUNDIE: I just want to add one thing that I think this is
something people could do. Richard mentioned that like even the Adjunct
Teacher Corps, which to anybody at this level seems like a no-brainer, right. Why is it so contentious in Congress? Why didn't it pass the Senate? Answer: The teachers union. That's I think 100 percent the answer.
And so one thing you could
say, whether it's the university provost or yourselves, if you go at a local
level, if you want this to change, you need to convince the teachers and their
unions that this is actually going to be good for them, not going to displace
them out of a job, and if you do not fix the union problem, I don't care how
much discussion we have in this room of this stuff, these changes will not be
made in K-12 education, period.
RICHARD NEWTON: Good point.
QUESTION: Joe Rosen from Dartmouth.
So this week before we came
here it was the 50th anniversary of AI, which we had at Dartmouth, and everyone
came up for that and had some criticisms that seem more to what you're talking
about. And next year is the 50th anniversary of DARPA, which has some of the
same problems.
And this sort of reminds me
of a real senior player in Washington. I was at a meeting, we talked about
whitespace where you hear this talk for an hour and you ask what isn't being
discussed that we're missing, which is actually the solution, so within this
framework we're never going to get there, and I think the answer is Washington
we used to call is disruptive technologies. So there needs to be an activity
to support heavily disruptive technologies, and what I found in Washington the
last few years, especially at OST and other groups, is we're veering away from
that, and it's disruptive technologies, which I think really excites the kids
at getting involved, not just incrementally adding another line of code to
50,000 lines of code, but looking at something that truly is going to change
things. And unless we do that here, and the question is DARPA is a group, the
AI conference, other groups, OST can support that activity, but I really have
not seen that. And mostly maybe in the intel community there is an activity
level for disruption, but this notion can now, if they're not going to be doing
it, could come out of industry academia, but that doesn't have to be big
projects, but they're exciting projects that suddenly attract people to join
this activity, and I think that somehow is not being encouraged.
CRAIG MUNDIE: It's the missing 8 percent.
RICHARD NEWTON: So let's speak to that. Richard, you know, I mean,
we've heard this both from Craig and from Dan as well relative to this sort of
entrepreneurial program leader opportunity. And I think many of us who have
lived through the DARPA area, as the various generations of DARPA would agree,
that back when the program managers A) had a job for a long time where they
could actually start a program and end it, and sort of see kind of success or
failure as a result of their investment and get the satisfaction from that, and
also when they had more independence and sort of rope, if you like, it was a
different era, and a lot of the big breakthroughs, a lot of the people that
were educated during that time, the Bill Joys, the whole Alto development,
things like that that really came out of a lot of those investments in many
ways, but really where we did change the field in some significant ways. How
are you going to -- I mean, is there anybody in Washington thinking about how
to do the 8 percent?
RICHARD RUSSELL: Actually, I mean, it's very much a topic of
discussion that's built into a number of the senate bills, authorization bills
that are circulating right now.
Here's the challenge,
because I don't think that there is a disagreement with the goal. There are
two things that typically happen with money in DC. One is that if you don't
create a framework by which you can argue that the money is better spent by a
group of in theory academics or industrialists with the best interests of the
nation in mind rendering judgment, the money instead gets earmarked. And
there's absolutely no question in our mind that peer review is intimately
better than earmarking.
DAN MOTE: Absolutely. We all agree with that.
RICHARD RUSSELL: And I think no one would disagree with that. So
that's the first thing.
The second thing is in terms
of why it is we're becoming more conservative, and certainly we've heard that a
lot, I guess one of the questions is, is there something we can do to the peer
review process to change that, and I think that would be a worthwhile --
something that's worth our time spending and thinking about.
Lastly though, having a
set-aside program is very difficult within individual agency budgets. So let's
take NASA. So we set aside 8 percent of NASA's budget. Well, the problem is
that if you look at NASA's budget, a huge percentage is going to the shuttle. You can't just take 8 percent of that and use it for high risk stuff, because
it's being used for the shuttle. And you'll find that replicated in virtually
every agency, with NSF being really the only agency where that's not as big an
issue, because obviously they're giving out individual grants.
CRAIG MUNDIE: That's the difference between business and
government is this sense of entitlement. I mean, all you're saying is that
every existing program is an entitlement and therefore you can't take the
entitlement programs away to fund the new stuff. And that's what business does
differently is they decide what's basically end of life and shoot it and then
they go on to the new thing. And I guess the question is how are we going to
do that with some of these folks.
RICHARD RUSSELL: I think that's something that we need to do more
work on. There's no question that one of the biggest problems, everyone --
that's why everyone looks at the marginal annual increase. We're spending $137
billion annually on R&D. This is the federal government, U.S. federal government alone, $137 billion on R&D. The problem is the only thing
people care about is whether it's 138 or 139. That's the only thing that
matters. The 137 is all baked, it's all used up, it doesn't matter. Well,
that's ridiculous. And that code we haven't cracked yet.
RICHARD NEWTON: The last question over here.
QUESTION: Wow, the last question. Beth Mynatt from Georgia
Tech.
Lucy mentioned Mark
Guzdial's work and how we've changed computing at Georgia Tech, and I wanted to
provide some commentary and return back to this question of what challenges do
we directly face, and what comes for free when we do that.
What Mark was able to do and
what we're able to see now in terms of increasing numbers, increasing
diversity, and increasing quality was changes throughout the college in computing
how we approach our education. That came from innovative and socially relevant
research that predated those efforts five years or more by people like Mark
Guzdial, by people like Tucker (Balsh ?).
The challenge is, and I
think what we need to do explicitly, and then the rest of this comes for free,
is how do get that innovative and socially relevant research funded. Mark --
he's not here, so I can say this -- Mark couldn't get funded for years on what
he was doing, and now he's practically Saint Mark at Georgia Tech at this
point. How we get that innovative research funded.
And then the second thing
is, and this was an incredible challenge for us, was breaking down the
political walls between the research side of the house and the academic side of
the house. Actually letting your research efforts filter through and connect
all the way through to the experience that every freshman at Georgia Tech has
about computer science, every freshmen, not just the CS majors, every single
freshmen on computer science, that now connects deeply to the research that
we're doing. And that's actually not a trivial lever.
RICHARD NEWTON: That's a great model, and congratulations on
everything you've done.
But again I think the point
you make, which it comes back to, is this point of that funding of that
innovative research. I think we've covered a lot of ground here today, but if
there's one thing that stands out in my mind it's the mythical 8 percent in
terms of the real input we've had.
What I'd like to do, we've
got a couple of minutes left, I'd like to just sort of go along the panel and
ask if anybody has anything they'd like to sort of add to finish up with.
DAN MOTE: I'll say one thing, and this thing about the
Gathering Storm report was a report written to Congress, but, in fact, if you
look at the areas that it addressees, K-12 education, basic research, higher
education, and incentives for industry, a lot of the territory is, in fact, not
in the federal government, a lot is in states and local regions, state economic
development folks, qualification for teaching and so forth.
Who is going to transform
that, going to take those threads now of this momentum we talked about down to
the grassroots and the dirt in the local community who is actually going to do
that?
The National Academy is having a program in September the 28th where it's looking to get all 50 states to
show up to try to get the states to essentially take up that mantle. Maryland has already done it, by the way, in April, but I think no other state has done it
yet.
So if you want to do
something, and you're interested in actually trying to carry this through and
see how far this momentum will actually take us, this September 28th meeting in
the National Academies is one that you might bring home to your universities to
see if you can participate in that at the state level, from whatever state you
come from.
RICHARD NEWTON: This is a point Dan has made a couple of times,
too, and I think he's right on. It's going to end up being these kind of
partnerships between industry, state and federal government that are ultimately
going to deliver on a lot of this promise of getting the state governments
actively involved in this process through tax incentives and other things is
really going to be important.
Craig?
CRAIG MUNDIE: I think the other point I'll make, other than this
8 percent, is the value of creating excitement. And it would be interesting to
say instead of advanced placement, can you take a job, a programming course
while you're in high school, it would be more interesting to say, you know, you
want to get advanced placement, you have to participate in high school in one
of these contests, and you could have ten of them, and pick your favorite
contest, participate in it, if you're on a winning team you're advanced
placed. And you have an element of competition, the kids are doing something.
The thing that's been
remarkable to watch is once you create that element of competition, the kids
come out of the woodwork. I mean, you've got hundreds of kids in a university
competing to be on teams of four, and then they only get one team of four that
goes to the regions, and then they can beat the nationals and the global. I
mean, it's remarkable. And if you couple that with the interest they have in
gaming and the whole community process, think of applying MySpaces and things
like that to the idea of monitoring. That's where you can get celebrities
today. You don't have to be on television. Use the Internet and all of the
stuff that these kids are doing, the digital lifestyle they live, to create and
reinforce this competition. But you've got to have something that they want to
go and participate in that's exciting, and I think that these competitions are
the way to get the kids engaged.
RICHARD NEWTON: Great. Richard?
RICHARD RUSSELL: Just echoing on something that Dan just said, there
are two areas that we really didn't spend any time talking about. One is the
state R&D funding, and just because I happen to know it off the top of my
head. The states are spending half again as much as the federal government is
on nanotechnology right now, and the federal government is spending a billion
dollars a year. That's almost unheard of. That's because there's interest in
the area, and there are a lot of states that are really ponying up. So that's
a great area, and I think we need to make sure that there's a nexus and synergy
there with the federal government and the private sector.
Secondly, the private sector
spends twice as much annually obviously on much closer, more applied research
than the federal government, so twice as much money is being supplied by the
private sector. And so that's something we didn't discuss but something I
think is really critical and we can't lose sight of that.
RICHARD NEWTON: Okay. Lucy?
LUCY SANDERS: Maybe just to reemphasize again the importance of
the CS introductory class, and I think if there's one thing we can all do
that's very high leverage it's really take a look at that and make it more interesting
and compelling and relevant to students. And then once we do that, the
redesign of the AP computer science test, which is they are committed to over
the next couple of years, or hiring a person. I intend to have some input as
to who that is to actually look at this. That starts to then help the K-12
level, because, of course, the K-12, they teach to the test. And so maybe it
is a contest or something else, we need a lot of creative ideas, we're going to
need your help, and so please do really seriously consider looking at your
courses.
RICHARD NEWTON: I'd like to thank our panel. We've covered a lot
of ground in this discussion. I think there's a lot we can do as a community,
and I'd just like to reiterate that I truly believe, as I think the panelists
do, that we're at a very special moment right now in terms of the field and our
activities here in the United States. I hope we can really get some focus on
this. And I thank you and I thank the audience for your participation. (Applause.)
END
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