p1
p2
p3
I1
I2
I3
I2
I1
I3
EVP
Transformation to
expectation
Policy for Concave Profiles
n  First derivative of utility positive with computation, second derivative is nonpositive.
• Theorem:
     Ideal policy: continue to allocate resources to solving the problem with the highest instantaneous expected value flux.
n
Eric Horvitz, April 5, 2003
Horvitz, 01