p
1
p
2
p
3
I
1
I
2
I
3
I
2
I
1
I
3
EVP
Transformation to
expectation
Policy for Concave Profiles
n
First derivative of utility positive with
computation, second derivative is nonpositive.
•
Theorem:
Ideal policy: continue to allocate resources to
solving the problem with the highest instantaneous
expected value flux.
n
Eric Horvitz, April 5, 2003
Horvitz, 01