Time Criticality for Shuttle Propulsion
Text Box: p(Shrapnel)
p(Shrapnel)
Seconds Continue During Propellant Failure
5
0                    1                  2                  3                   4
1.0
0.5
Text Box: p(Engine Damaged)
p(Engine Damaged)
* p(Vehicle Lost | Engine Damaged, No Shrapnel,C1) = .5
* p(Vehicle Lost | Engine Damaged, Shrapnel, C1) = .8
Barry and Horvitz (1993)
Eric Horvitz, April 5, 2003
Horvitz & Barry, 95