Research overview
I'm interested in principles of sensing, learning, and decision making under uncertainty. My interests include human decision making and computational models of reflection and action.
Beyond theoretical models, I pursue applications in several realms, including time-critical decision making, scientific exploration, information retrieval, and healthcare--with goals of understanding how computational models perform amidst real-world complexities, and of deploying valuable systems.
Related interests include information triage and alerting that takes human attention into consideration, spanning work on notification systems, surprise modeling, multitasking, and psychological studies of interruption and recovery. Other interests include principles of mixed-initiative interaction that can support fluid, efficient collaborations between people and computing systems, methods for guiding computer actions in accordance with the preferences of people, search and information retrieval, and collaboration. I've also been long interested in offline and real-time optimization of the expected value of
computational systems under limited and varying resources. Areas of concentration in this realm include
flexible or anytime computation, ideal metareasoning
for guiding computation, compilation
for reducing real-time deliberation, ongoing, continual computation, and the construction of bounded-optimal reasoning systems--systems that
maximize the expected utility of the people they serve, given the
expected costs of reasoning, the problems
encountered over time, and assertions about a system's constitution. Research in this arena includes
tackling hard reasoning problems with learning and decision making methods.
My organization within Microsoft Research includes groups focused on machine learning and decision making, search and retrieval, human-computer interaction, social computing, ecommerce, probability theory, and algorithms.
Currently serving as the Immediate Past President of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), on the Advisory Committee of the National Science Foundation's Directorate for Computer & Information Science & Engineering, and on the council of the Computing Community Consortium. Fellow of the AAAI, American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.
Several links...
- Computing Research Initiatives for the 21st Century (CCC whitepapers).
- On "six degrees of separation" study: Washington Post, CNBC video, Nature article.
- Predictive analytics in healthcare.
- Predictive analytics for traffic and routing.
- Surprise Modeling - video (Technology Review, Ten Emerging Technologies).
- Decision Education Foundation.
- AAAI Panel on Long-Term AI Futures.
- AI for Development site and AAAI Symposium on AI-D.
- Minds, Machines, and Intelligence: A Conversation, Behind the Code series.
- Gartner "Look into the Labs" panel", including review of work on surface computing, San Francisco.
- Discussion about artificial intelligence on the Charlie Rose Show.
- Overview video on Situated Interaction project.
- Artificial Intelligence in the Open World, AAAI Presidential Address, Chicago, IL, July 2008.
- "Please Do Not Board The Elevator With The Robot:" On challenges ahead.
- Artificial Intelligence Theory and Practice: Hard Challenges and Opportunities Ahead (panel discussion), Faculty Summit, Microsoft Research, July 2008 (video, photo).
- Overview video on efforts in notifications and attention.
- Presentation on Notification Platform project as part of Bill Gates keynote at CHI 2001, Seattle, April 2001 (photo, video).
- Brief glimpse of mixed-initiative Lookout system on a television commercial.
- MSR Downloads (including Outlook Mobile Manager 2.2.0.0 and Scalable Fabric prototype).
- Augmented Cognition meeting at Microsoft.
- Neuroeconomics: A personal view.
- Early handsfree Bayesian system for traumacare.
- Several members of the Decision Science and Computer Science communities at the wedding reception for Eric and Mary.