Forests contain two thirds of terrestrial biodiversity and store as much carbon and is currently in the atmosphere. We are combining new abstractions of forests, with various sources of data, via Bayesian statistics, to produce useful, predictive models of forest dynamics.
Our work in forest dynamics includes a number of projects, involving a number of international collaborators, spanning scales from the stand, through regions, to the globe. Throughout, the focus is on developing accurate, predictive models that could be usefully applied to improve our understanding of, and ability to manage, the world's forest resources.
Drew Purves on Modelling Forest Dynamics:
- S. Caldararu, D. W. Purves, and P.I. Palmer, Phenology as a strategy for carbon optimality: a global model, in Biogeosciences, vol. 11, 2014.
- Isabel M D Rosa, Drew Purves, Carlos Souza Jr, and Robert M Ewers, Predictive Modelling of Contagious Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, in PLOS One, PLoS, October 2013.
- Sadia E Ahmed, Carlos M Souza, J Riberio, and Rob M Ewers, Temporal patterns of road network development in the Brazilian Amazon, in Regional Environmental Change, vol. 13, pp. 927-937, Springer, October 2013.
- Mark C Vanderwel, Vassily S Lyutsarev, and Drew W Purves, Climate-related variation in mortality and recruitment determine regional forest-type distributions, in Global Ecology and Biogeography, Wiley, 4 June 2013.
- Mark C Vanderwel and Drew W Purves, How do disturbances and environmental heterogeneity affect the pace of forest distribution shifts under climate change?, in Ecography, Wiley, June 2013.
- Mark C Vanderwel, David A Coomes, and Drew W Purves, Quantifying variation in forest disturbance, and its effects on aboveground biomass dynamics, across the eastern United States, in Global Change Biology, Wiley, January 2013.
- Silvia Caldararu, Paul Palmer, and Drew Purves, Inferring Amazon leaf demography from satellite observations of leaf area index, in Biogeosciences, European Geosciences Union, April 2012.
- Drew Purves and Mark Vanderwel, (book chapter in press) Traits States and Rates: Understanding Coexistence in Forests , in Forests and Global Change, Cambridge University Press, 2012.
- John P. Caspersen, Mark C. Vanderwel, William G. Cole, and Drew W. Purves, How stand productivity results from size- and competition-dependent growth and mortality, in PLoS ONE, vol. 6, no. 12, pp. e28660, December 2011.
- Emily R Lines, David A Coomes, and Drew Purves, Influences of Forest Structure, Climate and Species Composition on Tree Mortality across the Eastern US, in PLoS-One, vol. 5, no. 10, PLoS, October 2010.